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2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

← 2020 November 3, 2026 2032 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is eligible to run for reelection, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote,[1] but has yet to indicate whether he will do so. Former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, Mary Peltola has also expressed interest in running for this seat.[2]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Filed paperwork

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Filed paperwork

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Potential

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[6] Solid R February 20, 2025
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R February 13, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Solid R March 12, 2025
Race To The WH[9] Tilt R May 5, 2025

Polling

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Hypothetical polling

Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dan
Sullivan (R)
Mary
Peltola (D)
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[10] April 21–25, 2023 1,261 (LV) 41% 44% 15%

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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  1. ^ Axelrod, Tal & Zack Budryk. Sullivan wins reelection in Alaska, giving Republicans 50 seats in Senate, The Hill, November 11, 2020.
  2. ^ "Peltola ties congressional loss to 'timing and luck,' and eyes future plans with a laugh". Yahoo News. December 5, 2024. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  3. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1482419". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  4. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1848117". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  5. ^ Skelley, Geoffrey (December 2, 2024). "Why Republicans start out as favorites in the 2026 Senate elections". ABC News. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  6. ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  7. ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  8. ^ "2026 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  9. ^ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  10. ^ Downing, Suzanne (May 2, 2023). "New poll says Rep. Mary Peltola could take Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2026". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2025.