2026 Arizona gubernatorial election
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| Elections in Arizona |
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The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs is eligible to seek re-election to a second term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.
Following the passage of proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly-established position of Lieutenant Governor.[1]
This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Publicly expressed interest
[edit]- Katie Hobbs, incumbent governor (2023–present)[2]
Declined
[edit]- Adrian Fontes, Arizona Secretary of State (2023–present) (running for re-election)[3]
- Kris Mayes, Arizona Attorney General (2023–present) (running for re-election)[4]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[5]
- Karrin Taylor Robson, former member of the Arizona Board of Regents (2017–2021) and candidate for governor in 2022[6]
Filed paperwork
[edit]- Christopher Ames[7]
- Christian Grey[8]
- Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor and candidate for governor in 2022[7]
- George Nicholson[7]
Publicly expressed interest
[edit]- Tom Hatten, gym chain founder[6]
- Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present) and candidate for governor in 2022[9]
Potential
[edit]- Charlie Kirk, CEO of Turning Point USA[10]
Declined
[edit]- Juan Ciscomani, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 6th congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[11]
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump[12] (endorsed Biggs)[7]
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor, nominee for governor in 2022, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024[13]
Endorsements
[edit]Andy Biggs
- U.S. Representatives
- Lauren Boebert, U.S. Representative from CO-4 (2021–present)[14]
- Eli Crane, U.S. Representative from AZ-2 (2023–present)[14]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from AZ-9 (2011–present)[14]
- State legislators
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present)[7]
- Local officials
- Debbie Lesko, Maricopa County supervisor (2025–present) and former U.S. Representative from AZ-8 (2018–2025)[15]
Karrin Taylor Robson
- Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[16]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[17] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 71% | 14% | – | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
- Andy Biggs vs. Charlie Kirk vs. Jake McCain vs. Jake Hoffman vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Jake Hoffman |
Charlie Kirk |
Jake McCain |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 14% | 1% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 5% | – | 47% |
- Andy Biggs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[17] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 59% | 9% | 11% | 3%[b] | 19% |
| Data Orbital[19][A] | January 18–20, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 4%[c] | 45% |
- Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[17] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 19% | – | 14% |
- Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[17] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 15% | 41% | – | 43% |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]Green primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]William Pounds
- U.S. Representatives
- Cynthia McKinney, U.S. Representative from GA-11 and GA-4 (1993–2003, 2005–2007)[22][23]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[24] | Tossup | January 23, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[25] | Battleground | February 6, 2025 |
Polling
[edit]Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Andy Biggs (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 38% | 5% | 17% |
| Kreate Strategies (R)[26][B] | February 5–7, 2025 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Karrin Taylor Robson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 35% | 4% | 18% |
| Kreate Strategies (R)[26][B] | February 5–7, 2025 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Hypothetical polling
Katie Hobbs vs. Charlie Kirk
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Charlie Kirk (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 36% | 7% | 18% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Jake Hoffman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Jake Hoffman (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 35% | 5% | 20% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Jake McCain
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Jake McCain (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 36% | 6% | 21% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Kimberly Yee (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[18] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 34% | 6% | 20% |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Tom Hatten with 2%; Scott Neely with 1%
- ^ "Refused" with 4%
- ^ Nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014, 2018, and 2022; nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, and write-in candidate in 2018 and 2020
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Encore which supports the Republican Party.
References
[edit]- ^ Barchenger, Stacey (September 21, 2023). "Arizona will elect its first lieutenant governor in 2026. What to know about the role". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 14, 2024.
- ^ Barchenger, Stacey (February 2, 2024). "Why Arizonans can't see Gov. Katie Hobbs' fundraising numbers, but can see others". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
"I'm actively raising funds for reelection," Hobbs said.
- ^ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne; Marley, Patrick (December 17, 2024). "Top Arizona election official accuses predecessors of ignoring proof-of-citizenship problem". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 19, 2024.
Fontes told The Post this week that he is running for reelection and is no longer considering challenging Hobbs in the Democratic primary for governor.
- ^ Gilger, Lauren (November 20, 2024). "How the field is shaping up for the 2026 Arizona governor race". KJZZ. Retrieved December 14, 2024.
There's also been talk from the Democratic side of Attorney General Kris Mayes challenging [Katie Hobbs]...She says as of right now she's planning on running for reelection.
- ^ Schutsky, Wayne (January 27, 2025). "Congressman Andy Biggs officially enters 2026 Arizona governor's race". KJZZ-TV. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
- ^ a b Stone, Kevin (February 12, 2025). "Karrin Taylor Robson announces 2nd run for governor of Arizona". KTAR-TV. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
- ^ a b c d e Gersony, Laura (January 21, 2024). "US Rep. Andy Biggs signals he is considering run for Arizona governor in 2026". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved January 21, 2023.
- ^ "STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Christian Grey" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. January 22, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
- ^ Fischer, Howard (December 23, 2024). "Trump endorsement of Robson draws flak, praise from GOP". The Daily Independent. Retrieved January 6, 2025.
- ^ Nir, David (December 2, 2024). "Morning Digest: The Downballot's early guide to the top races for governor this cycle". The Downballot. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
- ^ Solender, Andrew (December 12, 2024). "GOP Rep. Ciscomani passes on run for Arizona governor". Axios. Retrieved December 12, 2024.
Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) will run for reelection to Congress rather than mount a bid for governor in 2026, his campaign spokesperson told Axios.
- ^ Roberts, Laurie (November 19, 2024). "Republican goal for 2026 election: Kari Lake types need not apply | Opinion". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
A smattering of prominent and not-so-prominent Republicans are being mentioned as possibilities for making a run at Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in 2026...some are floating Sen. Jake Hoffman as a possibility.
- ^ Gersony, Laura (December 27, 2024). "'I don't want to run again': Kari Lake shrugs off political future at Turning Point event". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 27, 2024.
- ^ a b c Arcand, Cameron (February 12, 2025). "'I will not rest': Border state gubernatorial hopeful launches campaign weeks after Trump backed her". FOX News. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
- ^ NW Valley Times (February 10, 2025). "Debbie Lesko endorses Andy Biggs for governor of Arizona". NW Valley Times. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
- ^ Arcand, Cameron (December 22, 2024). "Trump endorses Robson in 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race". The Center Square. Retrieved December 22, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Andy Biggs Leads Field in RV Arizona Primary Poll from NicoPAC". NicoPAC. January 27, 2025. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner". Noble Predictive Insights. February 26, 2025. Retrieved February 27, 2025.
- ^ Holloway, Matthew (January 24, 2025). "Exclusive AZ Free News Poll: Biggs Ahead In 2026 Republican Primary For Governor - AZ FREE NEWS". azfreenews.com. Retrieved January 24, 2025.
- ^ "STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Barry Hess" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. January 3, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
- ^ "SeeTheMoney". seethemoney.az.gov.
- ^ "REX Streams Endorsement". Retrieved March 3, 2025.
- ^ "Facebook Video Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved March 3, 2025.
- ^ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
- ^ a b "Arizona 2026 General Ballot Poll" (PDF). Kreate Strategies. February 8, 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 14, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.