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Opinion polling for the 2006 Portuguese presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the 2006 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Candidates vote

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First round

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Graphical summary

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Polling

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  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Oth Lead
Cavaco
PSD, CDS
Soares
PS
Alegre
Ind.
Jerónimo
PCP
Louçã
BE
Pereira
PCTP
Election results 22 Jan 2006 50.5 14.3 20.7 8.6 5.3 0.4
29.8 over Alegre
UCP–CESOP 22 Jan 2006 ? 49–54 11–14 20–23 8–10 4–6 0–1
30 over Alegre
Eurosondagem 22 Jan 2006 ? 50.4–54.6 12.5–16.3 17.7–21.5 6.4–8.6 4.1–6.3 0.5–1.1
32.9 over Alegre
Intercampus 22 Jan 2006 ? 50.0–54.8 11.0–15.0 18.4–22.4 7.0–10.0 3.4–6.4 0.3–1.5
32.0 over Alegre
Marktest 15–18 Jan 2006 1,416 53.0 12.4 20.6 7.0 6.5 0.5
32.4 over Alegre
Eurosondagem 15–18 Jan 2006 3,058 53.0 16.9 16.2 7.2 5.8 0.9
36.1 over Soares
Aximage 15–18 Jan 2006 1,003 52.5 15.4 19.5 6.5 5.5 0.8
33.0 over Alegre
UCP 14–15 Jan 2006 1,003 52 15 19 7 6 1
33 over Alegre
Marktest 12–15 Jan 2006 812 54.6 13.1 18.4 6.6 6.4 0.8 36.2 over Alegre
Marktest 9–11 Jan 2006 608 56.8 12.8 15.6 7.8 6.5 0.4 41.2 over Alegre
Pitagórica 9–11 Jan 2006 605 54.7 12.4 15.9 8.7 7.1 1.3
38.8 over Alegre
Intercampus 9–11 Jan 2006 1,010 52.4 17.0 17.4 6.9 5.8 0.4
35.0 over Alegre
Marktest 4–7 Jan 2006 608 61.0 14.3 11.5 6.9 6.1 0.3 46.7 over Soares
Aximage 3–5 Jan 2006 570 61 15 11 4 7 1 46 over Soares
UCP 3–4 Jan 2006 815 60 13 16 7 4 0 44 over Alegre
Eurosondagem 11–14 Dec 2005 2,069 55.5 20.4 12.5 5.7 4.8 1.1 35.1 over Soares
Aximage 30 Nov–2 Dec 2005 560 58 17 14 6 5 0 41 over Soares
GEMEO/IPAM 25 Nov–1 Dec 2005 600 63 15 16 3 3 0 47 over Alegre
Intercampus 20–24 Nov 2005 1,001 57 15 17 6 5 0 40 over Alegre
UCP 21–22 Nov 2005 805 57 16 17 5 4 1 40 over Alegre
Marktest 15–19 Nov 2005 801 56 13 19 6 6 0 37 over Alegre
Aximage 7–8 Nov 2005 544 58 12 19 6 4 1 39 over Alegre
Eurosondagem 3–8 Nov 2005 1,577 52.6 18.0 16.9 5.6 6.2 0.6 34.6 over Soares
Marktest 18–21 Oct 2005 805 58 12 16 5 6 2 42 over Alegre
Aximage 17–19 Oct 2005 582 62 11 17 4 3 2 45 over Alegre
Intercampus[a] 3–6 Oct 2005 1,004 52.6 18.1 18.9 4.2 6.2 0.0 33.7 over Alegre
UCP 9 Sep 2005 49 32
7 11 1 17 over Soares
Aximage 5–6 Sep 2005 600 53.4 36.2
10.4 17.2 over Soares

Notes

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  1. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.7%). With their inclusion results are: Cavaco Silva: 45.9%; Manuel Alegre: 16.5%; Mário Soares: 15.8%; Francisco Louçã: 5.4%; Jerónimo de Sousa: 3.7%.
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