Talk:2026 United States Senate elections

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This article is written in American English, which has its own spelling conventions (color, defense, traveled) and some terms that are used in it may be different or absent from other varieties of English. According to the relevant style guide, this should not be changed without broad consensus.

Do not add Race to WH or 270toWIn Senate ratings

Race to the WH and 270 to win are not major prediction outlets, have not been sued in any previous election, and mostly average out ratings from other sources rather than coming up with there own thus neither should be added. Coolxsearcher1414 (talk) 20:51, 9 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Totally agree that a simple average aggregator like 270towin should not be used, but I'm increasingly of the opinion that racetotheWH is approaching notability, its godawful draft article notwithstanding. Fine with the ratings not being here for now of course, not a hill I want to die on. Perhaps soon though! The Savage Norwegian 21:26, 10 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Blocks showing each senator’s intention

Can people ensure the states are in alphabetical order? I have done a few but it is tedious. No, I’m not lazy. I’m busy. 2603:7080:8600:26C1:8582:E55C:9D4B:6005 (talk) 00:34, 14 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I wonder if it's more useful to fully alphabetize within a party or to separate based on the incumbent's actions (e.g. retiring in the middle, running on the outside) like we did in 2024? ~Malvoliox (talk | contribs) 00:49, 14 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Perhaps you did not see the hidden note. The seats are organized from center to outside by retiring, followed by undeclared, followed by running, and alphabetized after that. The Savage Norwegian 16:23, 14 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I'll add that I was not the one to add this note. I do think formatting it this way is a good idea though.The Savage Norwegian 16:28, 14 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Mitch McConnell (R-KY)

Mitch McConnell is retiring, so Kentucky should go red to denote it. 2603:7080:8600:26C1:814D:B0A8:2D91:578A (talk) 19:40, 20 February 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Alaskan Senate election page

Is there a reason the Alaskan Senate race lacks a page?

Every other Senate race has one, so it’s very strange for Alaska to not have one. Argkitsune (talk) 19:53, 7 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

At this juncture, Delaware, Idaho, Mississippi, New Mexico, Rhode Island, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming all lack articles and redirect to this page. There is no intentionality here; you are free to start any of these articles. Have fun, and thanks in advance for helping out! The Savage Norwegian 20:54, 7 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I should correct myself; my inclusionist streak is showing. They may not exist yet because of notability concerns. I'm certain by election day those concerns will have evaporated, with increasing press coverage and all. The Savage Norwegian 20:59, 7 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Oh, I was just curious. No issues on my part. Argkitsune (talk) 21:32, 7 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Adding Race to WH

I added Race to The WH a while ago to the 2026 United States Senate elections under the predictions page. While I agree it has not been notable in the past, it has gotten more notable recently, with sites like 270ToWin featuring it on there predictions page. They have also been pretty accurate and are up there with more established predictors. Given these reasons I think they are in fact a notable predictor now and should be added as to provide more information to this subject. Obviously, there has been some discussion about this but I would like to revert the change made to get rid of the addition of it. MAWJ The Awesome (talk) 23:26, 14 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I just looked up the Wikipedia content deletion guidelines and it says "It is preferable that good-faith additions remain in the article pending consensus". So I'm gonna add it back in until the community reaches a consensus. Also, it seems like in the topic "Do not add Race to WH or 270toWin Senate ratings", the consensus was that 270toWin is not allowed (which I agree with), and Race to WH could be added. Not wanting to start a edit war but I believe Wikipedia deletion guidelines say this is the right thing to do, especially considering that consensus seems to be reached. MAWJ The Awesome (talk) 02:52, 15 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I think it is especially becoming more notable in the current absence of 538 TW929 (talk) 11:44, 15 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Additionally their 2028 primary polling aggregates are included on the 2028 presidential election page and have ben for a while now TW929 (talk) 11:45, 15 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I think we should wait a bit longer to see if it catches onto notability before deciding to keep it. The most recent example I can think of involving a small, independent predictor catching enough notability to be included on Wikipedia is CNalysis (now State Navigate). In that case, CNalysis filled the specific niche of state legislative chamber and individual seat predictions, a much more sparsely-covered topic. It established notability in multiple ways, including having its predictions forwarded by Sabato's Crystal Ball in 2020 (through an officially-published article authored by CNalysis's founder and head writer) and receiving heavy coverage due to its nearly perfect predictions of the 2021 Virginia and New Jersey legislative elections. I have read other major prediction sites hold CNalysis in high regard and cite both its reporting and data collection. That, I believe, gave it enough notability that few people questioned adding its Presidential, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House predictions to their respective pages for the 2024 election (though I personally don't think we need to have them, since even CNalysis' own writing downplays those predictions as less of their focus). If Race to the WH can be found to have been considered notable by other secondary sources (and at least have a halfway-decent Wikipedia page), I think including them can be brought up again. Until then, I disagree with their inclusion. OutlawRun (talk) 20:56, 27 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I don't know I mean Race to WH has a very accurate record and has been getting more mainstream connections, with 270toWin featuring it on their predictions as well as it being on other Wikipedia pages. There's nothing to say it's not noteworthy. MAWJ The Awesome (talk) 20:41, 30 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

also some of the previously discussed requirements do not make any sense. Having been sued for their ratings doesnt even make sense for a requirement. TW929 (talk) 21:32, 30 March 2025 (UTC)[reply]

I personally vouch for its accuracy and support its inclusion. I started a WP:RSP thread about it too but that didn't spur any discussion. Theofunny (talk) 19:44, 5 April 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Adding New Cook PVI State Ratings for 2025

The current state Cook PVI ratings on this page right now are from 2022 and thus aren't accurate for today. If someone could add the current Cook PVI ratings for all the states that would be great and could provide much more context. MAWJ The Awesome (talk) 22:21, 9 April 2025 (UTC)[reply]

Dick Durbin (D-IL)

Dick Durbin is retiring, yet the map in the article still has IL as light blue. JosephTRobinsonGaming (talk) 00:59, 24 April 2025 (UTC)[reply]