2024 United States presidential straw poll in Puerto Rico
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Non-binding preference poll | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Harris 80–90%
70–80%
60–70%
50–60% Results by municipality (Does not include blank ballots.) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Puerto Rico |
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Although Puerto Rico does not participate in U.S. presidential general elections because it is an unincorporated territory and not a state, and therefore cannot send members to the U.S. Electoral College, Puerto Ricans are citizens of the United States and are able to participate in the U.S. presidential primaries.[1]
With the passage of Act No. 58 in 2020 by the pro-statehood New Progressive Party, voters will be able to participate in a non-binding presidential straw poll during the general election for the first time in the territory's history. Puerto Rico is the second U.S. territory to use straw polls for presidential elections, after Guam introduced their own in 1980 and has conducted a preference vote to coincide with every presidential election since.[2]
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Democratic primary was held on April 28, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won all 55 pledged delegates against minor opposition with 89% of the vote.[3] However, following Biden's withdrawal from the race on July 21, the Puerto Rico delegates were instructed to pledge their support for vice president Kamala Harris at the Democratic National Convention.[4]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 3,296 | 89.3% | 55 | 55 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 230 | 6.2% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 165 | 4.5% | |||
| Total: | 3,691 | 100.0% | 55 | 5 | 60 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Republican primary was held on April 21, 2024. Former president Donald Trump, who became the party's presumptive nominee on March 12, was the only candidate on the ballot and secured all 23 delegates.[6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 992 | 96.22% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| Write-in votes | 39 | 3.78% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,031 | 100.00% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[8] | Solid D (flip) | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Solid D (flip) | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D (flip) | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | Safe D (flip) | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[12] | Solid D (flip) | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[13] | Solid D (flip) | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[14] | Safe D (flip) | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[15] | Solid D (flip) | August 23, 2024 |
| RCP[16] | Solid D (flip) | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[17] | Safe D (flip) | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[18] | November 1—4, 2024 | 4,914 (A) | ± 1.0% | 56% | 25% | 18% |
| The Research Official Poll[19] | September 28 — October 2, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | — | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Gaither International[20] | July 12 — August 1, 2024 | 1,138 (A) | — | 39% | 38% | 23% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 724,947 | 63.62% | N/A | ||
| Republican | 263,270 | 23.10% | N/A | ||
| Blank ballots | 123,127 | 10.80% | N/A | ||
| Write-in | 18,285 | 1.60% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,139,584 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic win | |||||
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Murse, Tom. "Why Puerto Rico Matters in US Presidential Elections". ThoughtCo. Retrieved January 18, 2020.
- ^ Acevedo Irizarry, Marielis (July 27, 2024). "Partido Demócrata en Puerto Rico hará campaña para que boricuas voten por Kamala Harris en cuarta papeleta el 5 de noviembre". El Diario La Prensa (in Spanish). Retrieved July 27, 2024.
- ^ "Joe Biden wins Democratic primary in Puerto Rico". Associated Press. April 28, 2024. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
- ^ Yoon, Robert (July 31, 2024). "Harris wins Democratic presidential nomination in virtual roll call. Here's how the process worked". ABC News. Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 7, 2024. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
- ^ "Puerto Rico Democratic Primary Results". The New York Times. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
- ^ "Puerto Rico Republicans award Trump all 23 of their delegates". Associated Press. April 21, 2024. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
- ^ "Puerto Rico Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ AtlasIntel [@atlas_intel] (November 5, 2024). "ATLAS POLL PUERTO RICO - PREFERENCES FOR THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (October 19, 2024). "USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll: Presidential election straw poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.[better source needed]
- ^ "Puerto Rico Political Landscape" (PDF). Puerto Rico 51st. Gaither International. p. 73. Retrieved October 16, 2024.
- ^ "PRESIDENT ISLAND WIDE RESULTS". Comision Estatial de Elecciones de Puerto Rico. Archived from the original on November 6, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
