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Draft:Next Greek parliamentary election

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Next Greek parliamentary election

← June 2023 On or before August 2027

All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Kyriakos Mitsotakis Sokratis Famellos Nikos Androulakis
Party ND Syriza PASOK–KINAL
Last election 40.56%, 158 seats 17.83%, 47 seats 11.84%, 32 seats

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Dimitris Koutsoumpas Vasilis Stigkas Kyriakos Velopoulos
Party KKE Spartans EL
Last election 7.69%, 21 seats 4.68%, 12 seats 4.44%, 12 seats

  Seventh party Eighth party
 
Leader Dimitris Natsios Zoe Konstantopoulou
Party NIKI PE
Last election 3.69%, 10 seats 3.17%, 8 seats

The next Greek legislative election is scheduled to be held on or before August 2027. All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament will be contested.

Electoral system

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Compulsory voting will be in force for the elections, with voter registration being automatic.[1] However, none of the legally existing penalties or sanctions have ever been enforced.[2]

In January 2020, soon after returning to power, New Democracy, which has always been a proponent of majority bonuses since 1974, passed a new electoral law to reinstate them albeit under a very different formula. The party list coming first shall receive 20 extra seats (down from 50, with the constituency seats up from 250 to 280). Moreover, a new sliding scale disproportionality shall help the larger party lists: those receiving between 25% and 40% of the vote will receive one seat for every half percentage point in this range (up to 30 seats), before the proper proportional distribution begins. A winning party may thus receive up to 50 extra seats. However, this 2020 law also lacked the supermajority to take immediate effect. As a result, it took effect in the second election after the passage of the law, that being the June 2023 Greek parliamentary election.[3]

In 2024, Greek citizens were allowed to vote by mail for the first time, for that years' European Parliament elections, through a new process, where the possibility of voting from abroad through separate ballot boxes was abolished and the previous electoral rolls were wiped, and mail-in ballots were shipped upon registration to the new election rolls for mail-in voting.[4]

Background

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In the June 2023 Greek parliamentary election, Kyriakos Mitsotakis was elected to the office of Prime Minister once again, replacing caretaker Prime Minister Ioannis Sarmas.[5] New Democracy was elected to an absolute majority in Parliament, of 158 MPs. Second, and Official Opposition was Syriza, that had its seats nearly halved from the 2019 elections, from 86 down to 47 in June 2023. Minor parties Spartans, Victory, and Course of Freedom entered parliament for the first time, while previously elected parties (PASOK – KINAL, KKE, Greek Solution) increased their seats and voting percentages, in relation to the 2019 elections.[6]

Syriza leadership elections and splits

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On election night, Alexis Tsipras announced that he would propose leadership elections within Syriza,[7] later announcing his full resignation and withdrawal from any potential leadership race 4 days later.[8] Syriza's leadership race went into a second round between Effie Achtsioglou and party outsider Stefanos Kasselakis.[9] Kasselakis went on to defeat Achtsioglou on a 12-point margin and was elected President of Syriza.[10]

With his election, and his rhetoric of moving Syriza towards the political center, Kasselakis caused internal party turmoil,[11][12] leading to the first major split from Syriza since the last one in 2015, and the creation of New Left, just two months into his leadership.[13][14]

In February of 2024, Syriza's 4th Congress was held, with Kasselakis announcing party-wide elections after internal pressure,[15] to then back down by the end of the Congress after an agreement brokered by party officials,[16] as the European Parliament elections were upcoming.

After Syriza's mediocre performance at the European Parliament elections, and, rapid and unpopular internal changes to the party,[17][18][19][20] Kasselakis was ousted from the Presidency by a vote of no-confidence in the Central Committee on 7 September and fresh elections were called.[21] He was later barred from running by the Central Committee,[22] and left the party during its’ extraordinary Congress, later founding his own movement, Movement for Democracy.[23] Sokratis Famellos was ultimately elected as President on 24 November.[24]

2023 Local elections

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In 8 October 2023, the first round of local (municipal and regional) elections was held, followed by the second round a week later, on 15 October. New Democracy lost 5 out of the 12 regions it had been elected in 2019, as well as the two largest municipalities, Athens and Thessaloniki.[25] In Athens, ecologist PASOK – KINAL-backed Haris Doukas was elected mayor on the second round, defeating incumbent New Democracy-backed Kostas Bakoyiannis,[26] after gaining the backing of Kostas Zachariadis, the third-placed candidate backed by Syriza.[27] In Thessaloniki, Independent Stelios Aggeloudis defeated New Democracy-backed Konstantinos Zervas on a landslide of 34 points.[28]

2024 European Parliament election

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In June 2024, European Parliament elections took place. New Democracy topped the poll, but at a much lower percentage than the one a year ago at the parliamentary elections, with 28% of the votes and electing 7 MEPs.[29] Although opinion polls just two months prior showed PASOK – KINAL coming in second place, Syriza recovered into the second spot, but with 2 fewer MEPs, in total 4, while PASOK – KINAL remained in third place, but elected one more MEP, in total 3. Greek Solution and KKE came extremely close in percentages, but ultimately Greek Solution reached the fourth spot, and KKE the fifth, with both electing 2 MEPs with 9% of the vote. Niki and Course of Freedom each elected an MEP, and, Voice of Reason crossed the 3% threshold for the first time, electing its leader, Afroditi Latinopoulou as an MEP.[30]

PASOK—KINAL leadership race

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Immediately following the European Parliament elections, PASOK – KINAL high-ranking members raised the issue of leadership one after the other, in response to the election results that were perceived as mediocre, coercing PASOK – KINAL President Nikos Androulakis to call for early leadership elections for October of the same year, bypassing the planned ones for late 2025.[31] Newly elected mayor of Athens, Haris Doukas[32] and MP Pavlos Geroulanos[32] announced their candidacies on the same Central Committee meeting, that elections were decided upon. Other candidates included Anna Diamantopoulou,[33] Michalis Katrinis,[34] and Nadia Giannakopoulou.[35] After a close race for the second spot between Doukas and Geroulanos, Doukas made it to the second round along with Androulakis,[36] but went on to lose on a 20-point margin against him. Nikos Androulakis was re-elected to the Presidency of PASOK – KINAL[37] and so he became the Leader of the Official Opposition in late November 2024, as enough Syriza MPs became Independent for it to drop in seat count behind PASOK – KINAL.[38]

2025 Presidential election

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By late 2024, as the purported date of the election of the President of the Hellenic Republic approached, parties began announcing their candidates for the post.[39][40][41][42] Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis proposed Konstantinos Tasoulas,[43] who won out in the end after four rounds of voting, with 160 votes out of 300, on 12 February 2025.[44]

Notes

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References

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  1. ^ "Constitution of Greece" (PDF). Hellenic Parliament. Retrieved 5 November 2011. Article 51, Clause 5: The exercise of the right to vote is compulsory.
  2. ^ "Ψήφος: Το δικαίωμα που έγινε υποχρέωση - η ελληνική κι άλλες εξαιρέσεις" (in Greek). Efimerida ton Syntakton. 24 April 2023. Retrieved 12 January 2025.
  3. ^ "Parliament votes to change election law". Kathimerini. Retrieved 25 January 2020.
  4. ^ "Επιστολική ψήφος: Πώς θα εφαρμοστεί στην Ελλάδα και τι ισχύει στην υπόλοιπη Ευρώπη" (in Greek). Naftemporiki. 3 December 2023. Retrieved 12 February 2025.
  5. ^ "Mitsotakis sworn in as Greek PM after landslide election victory". France 24. 26 June 2023. Retrieved 14 February 2025.
  6. ^ "Greece's conservatives win election majority to secure second term". Politico Europe. 26 June 2023. Retrieved 14 February 2025.
  7. ^ "Sweeping ND victory, SYRIZA declines further". Kathimerini. 25 June 2023. Retrieved 14 February 2025.
  8. ^ "Greece's opposition leader Tsipras announces resignation after crushing election defeat". Le Monde. 29 June 2023. Retrieved 14 February 2025.
  9. ^ "SYRIZA: Kasselakis, Achtsioglou headed to a runoff". Kathimerini. 18 September 2023. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  10. ^ "Stefanos Kasselakis: ex-banker who lit up Greek politics to lead Syriza". Kathimerini. 25 September 2023. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  11. ^ "Ο Στέφανος Κασσελάκης με τα δικά του λόγια" (in Greek). Efimerida ton Syntakton. 21 October 2023. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  12. ^ "ΣΥΡΙΖΑ: Ευθεία αμφισβήτηση της "Ομπρέλας" προς τον Κασσελάκη". ΤΟ ΒΗΜΑ (in Greek). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  13. ^ "Kasselakis: MPs who left SYRIZA put their own ambition over society". Kathimerini. 30 November 2023. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  14. ^ "Και το όνομα αυτού "Νέα Αριστερά" - Κοιτάζει στις ευρωεκλογές". in.gr (in Greek). 4 December 2023. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  15. ^ "ΣΥΡΙΖΑ: Τάχιστα οι τετραπλές εκλογές για την επανεκλογή προέδρου που ανακοίνωσε ο Κασσελάκης". CNN.gr (in Greek). 22 February 2024. Retrieved 26 February 2024.
  16. ^ "Greece's SYRIZA Faces Fresh Divisions But Rejects New Leadership Contest". Balkan Insight. 26 February 2024. Retrieved 14 February 2025.
  17. ^ "Κορυφώνεται η "αποτσιπροποίηση" του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ: Η απόλυση Τσίπρα, οι αργομισθίες και τα καρφιά". Proto Thema (in Greek). 20 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
  18. ^ "Κόμμα χωρίς όργανα και... αντιρρήσεις σχεδιάζει ο Κασσελάκης". News 24/7 (in Greek). 25 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
  19. ^ "Συλλογή υπογραφών στον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ για τα κομματικά όργανα: Εντείνεται η πίεση στον Κασσελάκη". Proto Thema (in Greek). 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
  20. ^ "Βαθαίνει το (νέο) ρήγμα στον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ". Kathimerini (in Greek). 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
  21. ^ "SYRIZA sets leadership elections after Kasselakis' ouster". Kathimerini. 10 September 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  22. ^ "Kasselakis on his disqualification: Unprecedented event, take SYRIZA in your hands, democracy will be fighting back". Proto Thema. 14 October 2024. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
  23. ^ "Stefanos Kasselakis announces new party in Greece after leaving Syriza". Euronews. 9 November 2024. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
  24. ^ "Famellos elected SYRIZA leader". Kathimerini. 24 November 2024. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
  25. ^ "Greek progressives deal ruling New Democracy severe blow in local elections". Euractiv. 16 October 2023. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
  26. ^ "Bakoyannis concedes defeat in Athens mayoral race". Kathimerini. 15 October 2023.
  27. ^ "Ζαχαριάδης: Στήριξη στον Χάρη Δούκα στον β΄γύρο". News 24/7 (in Greek). 8 October 2023.
  28. ^ "Athens, Thessaloniki changing mayors in local government runoff". Kathimerini. 15 October 2023.
  29. ^ "Greece's ruling party leads in European elections but suffers major decline from last general elections". Anadolu Ajansı. 9 June 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2025.
  30. ^ "Aphrodite Latinopoulou's first Comments". Proto Thema. 20 June 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2025.
  31. ^ "Androulakis proposes elections for PASOK's leadership on October 6 and 13". Athens-Macedonian News Agency. 30 June 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  32. ^ a b "PASOK leader Androulakis defends record, explains decision to call election". Kathimerini. 2 July 2024. Retrieved 11 April 2025.
  33. ^ "Ex-commissioner throws in hat in PASOK leadership race". Kathimerini. 15 July 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2025.
  34. ^ "PASOK leadership elections underway across Greece". Kathimerini. 6 October 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  35. ^ "Nadia Giannakopoulou launches bid to be PASOK leader". Kathimerini. 3 July 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  36. ^ "Androulakis and Doukas react to PASOK leadership election results". Kathimerini. 7 October 2024. Retrieved 11 April 2025.
  37. ^ "Androulakis re-elected PASOK leader". Kathimerini. 13 October 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  38. ^ "Greece's Socialist PASOK becomes main opposition after leftist party collapse". Reuters. 21 November 2024.
  39. ^ "Χρήστος Ράμμος: Η «αριστερή πρόταση» για την Προεδρία - Η πρόταση Χαρίτση, οι αντιδράσεις Φάμελλου και Τσίπρα". protothema.gr (in Greek). 4 December 2024. Retrieved 27 December 2024.
  40. ^ "Νατσιός στα Παραπολιτικά 90,1: Προτείνουμε τον Κώστα Κυριακού για την Προεδρία της Δημοκρατίας - '"Ήταν ήρωας, γεννήθηκε στη Βόρεια Ήπειρο και φυλακίστηκε από τον Χότζα"". parapolitika.gr (in Greek). 13 January 2025. Retrieved 13 January 2025.
  41. ^ "ΣΥΡΙΖΑ: Προτείνει τη Λούκα Κατσέλη για Πρόεδρο της Δημοκρατίας". documentonews.gr (in Greek). 13 January 2025. Retrieved 13 January 2025.
  42. ^ Nikos Androulakis a short while ago: Why Tasos Giannitsis was chosen as PASOK's candidate for the Presidency of the Republic. ertnews.gr. (in Greek) Retrieved 16 January 2025
  43. ^ "Parliament speaker, advocate for return of sculptures from Britain, tapped to be Greece's president". AP News. 15 January 2025. Retrieved 16 January 2025.
  44. ^ "Νέος Πρόεδρος της Δημοκρατίας ο Κωνσταντίνος Τασούλας - Εκλέχτηκε με 160 ψήφους". ΤΟ ΒΗΜΑ (in Greek). 12 February 2025. Retrieved 12 February 2025.